Archive for the ‘SAU’ Category

STANISLAV MISHIN: How the Muslim Brotherhood Saved the U.S. Dollar

January 30, 2011 Comments off

The following column is reprinted with permission from Stanislav Mishin, a regular contributor to Russian newspaper Pravda.

How the Muslim Brotherhood Saved the U.S. Dollar
©  Stanislav Mishin
Source:  Mat Rodina
January 30, 2011

There are two truths that the Anglo Elites know all too well: democracy in the West means a ruling oligarchy with good PR, democracy in the Middle East means Islamic Jihadists and Fundamentalists. This has been a fact for many years and is not, in any way a shock or disconnect for any of the American elites now backing “democracy” revolutions.

1.  Iranian revolution, 1978-1979: Mass protests by a wide coalition against the King. Result? Mullahs take over.

2.  Egypt has free parliamentary elections. Results? The Muslim Brotherhood becomes the second most powerful party in the country, before being quickly banned.

3.  Americans allow free elections in Iraq. Results? Islamist parties become the main power blocks in power.

4.  Palestinians have free elections: Voters protest against corrupt regime. Result? Hamas is now running the Gaza Strip.

5.  Beirut Spring: Christians, Sunni Muslims, and Druze unite against Syrian control. Moderate government gains power. Result? Hezbollah is now the main political force in Lebanon.

6.  Algeria holds free elections: Voters back moderate Islamist group. Result? Military coup; Islamists turn (or reveal their true thinking) radical; tens of thousands of people killed.

Quite simply, the majority of the population has an insane infatuation with extremist Islam, be it Shiite or Sunni. Again, none of this is a surprise to the owners of the Anglo sphere. So why are they so actively backing revolutions and over throws throughout the Middle East?

Already a revolution has swept out the sectarian dictator of Tunisia, with Islamists quickly moving in. Exiled leader of Tunisian Islamist party returning to role in ‘new era of democracy’.

Protests, demonstrations and revolutions have now spread to Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Albania, Yemen and Saudi Arabia. Egypt is by far, the worst hit, with the government teetering, mass looting and violence becoming the norm and the Muslim Brotherhood riding high.

All of this, of course is nothing new, it is a rehash of past and present events. So, my astute readers are now asking, again, why are the Anglo Elites servicing these revolutions and how will this save the U.S. dollar, or at least stave off its death for a few more years?

To answer that one must understand that to be a vassal, er, an ally of the Anglos is worse than to be an enemy. At least an enemy knows where he stands, while an ally will be used and when his or her utilization has reached its max, will be betrayed, back stabbed and sold out as best suits the Anglos, be it an Irishman or a Half Arab who sits in the Oval Office.

So now the time has come for a new round of betrayals, to prop up the USD at the expense of allies. You see, dear reader, the U.S. dollar is the exchange currency for Oil and Gas and the higher the price, the more the USD is demanded. The more that is demanded, to buy the more expensive oil and gas, the more debt currency the U.S. private Federal Reserve gets to print up and drop off on the world, allowing for accumulation of real resources, worth real value, as well as continuing pointless Marxist programs and the off-shoring of American hyper inflation to the rest of humanity.

This is nothing new. The U.S. ‘colour revolutions’ were used in the Central Asian states, to create havoc in areas adjacent to oil. The first was in Uzbekistan, where the socialist dictator and U.S. ally, Karimov, has been designated for removal by a U.S.-sponsored Islamic revolution. Unfortunately for the Americans, Karimov had no problem massacring the American paid for revolutionaries. He followed this by ousting the U.S. base on his lands and running to Moscow for protection.

The U.S. dollar did not get its intended boost in the Central Asian territories, at that time, however, the Americans did not give up. Even if a revolution fails in the directly affected area, one can be staged in an adjacent area which will lead to further instability in the intended area, thus driving up the price of oil and gas. To that end, the Americans created and backed the civil war in Tajikistan, where Uzbeki fanatics, in the south of the country now have defacto rule and will export their jihad to their own mother country, thus ensuring high levels of instability for decades to come.

To that same end, the Americans are backing the revolutions on the periphery of the main oil fields of the Middle East, in full knowledge that this will spill further and further into the oil producing regions. That is the plan, after all.

Tunisia, itself, a small time oil producer, accounts for 40,000 barrels/day.

Algeria and Yemen have also faced mass protests, funded and organized by Western NGOs, even as the owners of those NGOs pretend to be sympathetic to the rulers of the countries in question. However, as in Uzbekistan, these rulers have and will continue to respond with massive force, making sure that their U.S.-sponsored, home grown Islamics do not get very far. In Yemen, early Sunday, the government arrested Tawakul Karman, a prominent journalist and member of the Islamist party Isiah. He had organized protests through text messages and emails. All of the Western press are playing their roll, screaming to the high heavens about this Islamic fundamentalist’s follow on release and her love of freedom, even though Fundamentalist Islam believes in Sharia and has no freedom, other than the right to murder unbelievers.

Jordan, one of the most stable regional powers, has also been rocked by protests, as more than 5,000 people took to the streets, demanding the King give up his power, to “the people”.

Egypt has not been so lucky. Its government has proven, so far, to be weak, with many in the military openly siding with the Islamic Brotherhood and its Western NGO backers. Looting in the streets is rampant, as is direct confrontation with those special police forces, and special forces, still loyal to the dictatorship. The end is only a matter of time.

Egypt itself is responsible for the production of 680,000 barrels of oil per day. While this is about 1-2% of the world total output, Egypt further plays a massive role, with the Suez Canal and the alternate Surned pipeline, of passing an additional 1 million barrels of crude bound for the European and American markets. It is bad enough with the Somali pirates pushing up the price of oil, or why do you think that a trigger-happy America willing to invade just about anyone it can, including once upon a time Somalia, suddenly is too timid to deal with a bunch of rag tag pirates?

Other protests have erupted in Morocco, Libya, Lebanon and even Albania. All around the edges of the major oil players.

More worrisome than disruptions to Egypt’s oil production is the prospect that the unrest spreads to other hard-line states in the region, such as Libya and Algeria, both members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Other countries in the region, including Tunisia and Yemen, have been wracked by anti-government protests in recent weeks, though neither is a major oil producer.

“If this thing spreads across the North African continent, gets into Libya, Algeria, then you’ve got trouble,” said Stephen Schork, editor of the Schork Report energy newsletter.

Finally, this whole process is now spilling into Saudi Arabia and soon possibly into the whole of the Gulf princedoms. The oil shocks will be profound and will be quick.

Already, with just the Egyptian upheavals, and as expected, just on the Thursday and Friday violence, oil went up over 4%, some $3.70 per barrel. Another similar rise can be expected this week, if not higher. When, not if, Mubarak’s government falls, oil should be expected to hit close to the $100 mark. With Nigeria also sinking into civil war, oil may well peak over $100/barrel by the end of February.

The American media and their other Western underlings and affiliates, are doing their part in colouring these as peoples’ fights for freedom and human rights. Of course they know full well what this will lead to: Islamic fundamentalism, which is the only result that this has ever led to. Then when this happens, when the correct end result is in place, those very same self-serving hypocrites, will throw up their hands and declare that they are shocked that those stupid, dirty Arabs could not make any go of “freedom” even after all the help they were given.

The Americans have been preparing for this for years. Many foolishly blame this on Obama, he is a part of this, but his is only the final chapter in the preparation for one of the last ditch efforts to stave off Judgment Day of the U.S. dollar and its debt built and house of cards economy.

“What happened in Georgia with the Rose Revolution and Orange Revolution in Ukraine in 2003-2004 was part of a long-term strategy orchestrated by the Pentagon, the State Department and various U.S.-financed NGOs like Freedom House and National Endowment for Democracy to create pro-NATO regime change in those former Soviet Union areas and to literally encircle Russia,” author and researcher William Engdahl told RT.

“What is going on in the Middle East with the Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia that we saw a few days ago, and now in Egypt with Mubarak in his 80s, and obviously a regime that is not exactly the most stable one, we have a food crisis taking place as a backdrop and the IMF coming and telling these countries to eliminate their state food subsidies so you have, of course, the explosive background for popular unrest. Within that you have these NGOs, like Freedom House, training activists and trade unions and various other organizations to demand democracy, demand human rights and so forth,” he added.

This earlier report by RT [“TV Novosti”] sums the process up even better:

Dr. William Robinson is one of the foremost experts on Washington’s democracy promotion initiatives, he wrote the book ‘Promoting Polyarhcy.’

“In Latin America, in Eastern Europe with the Velvet Revolutions, in Africa, in the Middle East, really all over the world, the U.S. set up these different mechanisms now for penetrating these civil societies in the political systems of countries that are going to be intervened and to assure the outcome is going to be pleasing to Washington’s foreign policy objectives,” said Robinson.

Lawrence Wilkerson, the former Chief of Staff to former Secretary of State Colin Powell said, “We do this through surrogates and non-governmental organization and through people who are less suspecting of the evil that may lurk behind their actions than perhaps they were before. Have we learned some lessons in that regard? You bet! Do we do it better? You bet! Is it still just as heinous as it has always been? You bet!”

The Americans call this process Creative Destruction, that is the new catch phrase for world revolutions, no different than that which was exported from our own country while it was ruled by Anglo financed Marxists. While the PR may be promising and alluring, the results will be misery and death for those in ground zero: with tourism and industry fleeing fundamentalist regimes, resulting in yet more starvation and poverty, and a massive enrichment for the top 1% of the Anglo elite who could not give a bigger damn, no matter what their fully owned media mouth pieces may be saying.

The massive increases in the price of oil, as well as the increased demand for weapons by those states who border these areas, will line the pockets of thousands of executives and politicians in America, and to a smaller level, of England, for decades to come. If a war or three are spawned from this, even better.

Furthermore, with refugees and terrorism flooding Europe, which is finally starting to react violently to the virus that is attacking the body social at large, and the confiscation of European industry in Northern Africa, the Euro will be on the front lines of these new Islamic plagues, like never before. It will take another beating, with the dollar remaining a “safe” investment. Just another big plus, not to mention the new missions for NATO and that military-industrial complex, this will generate.

As for the American serfs, the little people? Well, the $6-10/gallon ($1.50-$2.25/liter) gasoline will crush them. Sure, the socialist welfare programs that their government will finance by selling yet more dollars, will help some, but it is a mild treatment for a terminal disease. Their falling wages, in the face of mass and growing unemployment as well as soaring inflation, will drag the last of the middle class into poverty and slavery. However, unlike the Arabs or the French or most other people of the world, they will do what their British cousins have been doing for the past 30 years, put up a stiff upper lip and accept this as their reality. And yes, as before, for the world at large, their owners in NYC, DC and London, could not really give a bigger damn.

A passive people, believing in their own illusionary freedoms and high on their own self importance, make for the best slaves and no where are there more such slaves than in the USA.

The rest of us will also have to live with an ever more violent world, courtesy of the biggest sponsor of Islamic insanity the world has ever had the sorry state of knowing.


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IRAQ: Al-Sadr’s new role against Sistani’s authority

January 10, 2011 Comments off

The following commentary is reprinted with permission from Roads to Iraq, intel blog.

Al-Sadr’s new role against Sistani’s authority
©  Roads to Iraq
January 10, 2011

While Senior Shiites Supreme-clerics still live in the old city near the shrine of Imam Ali bin Abi Talib, the media ignored the significance of Muqtada Al-Sadr’s move of changing his father’s office from Al-Hannana neighborhood in the old-city to one of the modern, luxurious neighborhoods in Najaf, which reveals his new role in the Iraqi politics.

In his return to Iraq, Al-Sadr knows that any announcement of a religious degree he managed to obtain in Qom-Iran can be a great embarrassment to the tradi­tional religious Supreme-Authority, led by Sistani.

The traditional religious establishment in Najaf fears that Al-Sadr as a political leader of a movement, such as the Sadrists, which he inherited from the legacy of his father Mohammed Sadiq Al-Sadr, is quite different from Al-Sadr with a degree in jurisprudence, which makes him a competitor to the Supreme-Authorities, espe­cially if he manages to obtain a Fatwa-license. In this case it will be a coup against the concepts of the religious authority which is characterized by stability, sustainability and silent-activities shrouded in extreme secrecy.

Information came from Najaf saying that Sistani’s supporters initiate extreme security around Sistani’s office for the fear of an assassination attempt, as part of the new equation in Iraq.

There is also information saying that an Arab country advised Sistani to leave Iraq for a period of time because of his security [I guess it is Jordan].

While western media concentrated on the reasons behind Al-Sadr’s return to Iraq, Iraqi and Arab analysts tried to predict the answer to the question: What is Muq­tada Al-Sadr’s next move? And will he stay in Najaf in his new position or not?

The answer depends on the coming scenarios in the Iraqi conflict system:

·  The Iraqi — Iraqi conflict:  The most prominent example is the activities of the Iraqi death squads, most Iraqis still consider the Mahdi Army led by Al-Sadr is responsible.

·  Shiite — Shiite conflict:  An example is the government forces of Al-Maliki attacked the Mahdi Army in the Basra.

·  Shiite — religious conflicts:  The clerical rule or as known in Arabic (Wilayat Al-Faqih) will be the main reason behind this conflict.

·  The Iraqi — U.S. conflict:  The American forces targeted Al-Sadr in Najaf a few years ago.

·  Regional conflicts between Tehran and Riyadh to the point of placing their influ­ences in the Iraqi arena.

Highlights from Al-Sadr speech on Saturday, asks his followers to give the current government a chance and watch its actions, show that this is the calm before the real storm.


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Categories: IRN, IRQ, SAU, USA

Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad To Stand Up Against Israel?

August 11, 2010 Comments off

The following commentary is reprinted with permission from Pravda, Moscow.

Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad To Stand Up Against Israel?
By Ivan Tulyakov
August 10, 2010

The recent events showed that the incident on the border between Israel and Lebanon, which took place in the beginning of last week, was not just a set of tragic circumstances. Someone in the Middle East wants the armed conflict between the two countries to repeat again.

The UN Security Council and other international mediators urged Israel and Lebanon to take efforts not to let the events of the year 2006 repeat again, when Israel invaded Lebanon to destroy Hezbollah gunmen. However, it seems that politicians from Damascus and Teheran are not willing to look for a compromise about the incident.

Israeli Lieutenant Colonel Dov Harari was killed on April 3 as a result of an armed attack from Lebanon. Israel responded, having killed two soldiers of the Lebanese army and a newspaper journalist.

The Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri condemned Israel’s aggression having stated that Israel had infringed upon Lebanon’s sovereignty. The second power in the country represented by Hezbollah leader sheikh Hassan Nasrallah was much more emotional in its statement about the border incident. The official said that Hezbollah would cut out Israel’s arm, if it dared to attack the Lebanese army. The Hezbollah leader obviously had serious reasons for such bellicose remarks.

The Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) may lay the responsibility for the death of the former prime minister of Lebanon Rafic Hariri on Hezbollah. If it happens, the reputation of the movement will be damaged considerably. That is why the administration of this organization, which has become a state within a state in Lebanon, demanded the tribunal be dissolved. The movement even threatened to organize a coup in the country.

The threats from Hezbollah became a reason for a special meeting in Beirut between the King of Saudi Arabia Abdullah and Syrian President Bashar Assad. The Saudi king asked the Syrian president to restrain Hezbollah. However, Assad told the king that he would not tolerate Hezbollah’s accusation of Rafic Hariri’s assassination.

In the meantime, some countries in the Middle East have already announced their readiness to support radical political groups in Lebanon and in the Palestinian Authority in their efforts to repulse the possible aggression from Israel.

Ali Akbar Velayati, the advisor to Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been very active during the recent several days. The official had a meeting with Syrian President Bashar Assad to discuss the state of affairs in Lebanon and in the Palestinian Authority. Syria and Iran set out their support to the forces of the Lebanese and Palestinian resistance, which, as the two sides believe, make the only real force that can stand up against Israel.

It is worthy of note that the Lebanese army did not participate much in the military actions against the Israeli military men during the 34-day war in 2006. Hezbollah, which started that war, proved that it had the support of the population and possessed well-developed military infrastructure.

Ali Akbar Velayati earlier visited Beirut, where he met Lebanese President Michel Suleiman and the head of Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah.

In Damascus, Velayati conducted negotiations with the head of the political bureau of the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), Khaled Meshaal. The officials discussed the situation in Palestine, as well as the subject of the Palestinian national reconciliation, news agencies reported. Mashaal said after the meeting at a news conference that he and the Iranian official exchanged opinions about the state of affairs in the Middle East and in Palestine. The sides also discussed the “threat from Israel and the USA.” The radical Palestinian official said that Hamas was capable of dealing with the above-mentioned challenges.

Velayati also had a meeting with the general secretary of Palestine’s Islamic Jihad, Ramadan Abdallah Shalah. The sides discussed the issues of direct talks between Palestine and Israel, as well as the recent border incident.

All those meetings testify to the fact that the situation in the Middle East is becoming a matter of a large geopolitical game. Syria and Iran will try to retrieve its dominating positions in the Arab world targeting irreconcilable contradictions between radical and loyal political forces and provoking another war between Israel and Lebanon, in which Hamas will be ready to open a second front in the Gaza Strip.

Will the weak coalition government of Lebanon and Saudi Arabia be able to restrain Hezbollah? The situation will mostly depend on the Israeli military men, who seem to be eager to start another war too.


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Suspicious U.S. military movements in the Gulf

April 13, 2010 Comments off

The following article is reprinted with permission from Roads to Iraq, intel blog.

Suspicious U.S. military movements in the Gulf
©  Roads to Iraq
April 13, 2010

Al-Manar newspaper, sees the real reason behind the Russian warning to the U.S. and Israel against attacking Iran.

The newspaper reported that secret security meetings took place recently between Israel and “some” regional security agencies, at the time France started a military build up in its military base established in the UAE, and the U.S. supplied Saudi Arabia with a highly sophisticated weapons worth billions of dollars, the goal is to attack aggressively Iran.

But the most important is that the U.S. started to provide its military bases in the Gulf-region and the Middle East with advanced and intelligent bombs, also the presence of the American nuclear submarines in Gulf.


Categories: FRA, IRN, ISR, RUS, SAU, UAE, USA

Foreign influences on the formation of a ruling coalition in Iraq

March 29, 2010 Comments off

The following article is reprinted with permission from Roads to Iraq, intel blog.

Foreign influences on the formation of a ruling coalition in Iraq
©  Roads to Iraq
March 29, 2010

Minutes after the official announcement of election results, Allawi talked to his supporters saying the following:

Iraq is ready to extend a hand of brotherhood to all neighboring countries, (such as) Syria, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran, Jordan and Kuwait, on the basis of non-interference…

The interesting part of the above, is that Allawi didn’t name the U.S. in the list of countries that play a crucial role in Iraqi politics.

Expectations indicate, that the results of the Iraqi election, will activate the influences of the third parties interferences, and in particular Saudi Arabia, Iran regionally, the U.S. and UK at the international level.

– Saudi Arabia: Leaked information revealed that Riyadh had provided Al-Iraqiya Coalition at least one billion dollars.

– Iran: Focuses most of its support on the Iraqi National Alliance (Al-Ja’afari) and, to a lesser extent, on the State of Law (Al-Maliki).

– U.S.: Adopted the double standards principle, making it possible for Washing­ton to benefit in any circumstances. While Washington expressed its pro­fessed support for the State of Law (Maliki), it also demonstrated its strong sup­port for Al-Iraqiya (Ayad Allawi) through Saudi Arabia with the Kingdom’s posi­tion as a proxy in Iraq’s political arena.

– U.K.: Confidentiality policy not to anger Washington, and Saudi Arabia; this approach allowed the U.K. to achieve some success. The U.K. supported as many Iraqis live in the U.K. as possible, in order to support and strengthen Al-Iraqiya.

Al-Qabas revealed that the British Foreign Office has called Shiite figures out­side Iraq to express its desire to nominate Allawi, and the need to promote this desire through special relationships with the parties concerned.

External pressures on the formation of Iraq’s new ruling coalition, would be rep­resented in the following:

– Washington and Saudi Arabia will pressure for the establishment of an alliance between the Al-Iraqiya (Ayad Allawi) and the Kurdistan Alliance (Tala­bani – Barzani) in order to allow secure block (91 +43) which is equivalent to 134 seats. For the remaining 29 from the 163 seats required for the PM post, Washington – Riyadh will secure the support of the small-blocs, as well as to cause divisions and splits among Maliki’s, and Ja’afari’s supporters.

The above is more a Saudi agenda than a U.S. one. The American prefer to see a government contains both Allawi and Maliki ~ U.S. embassy in Iraq spokesman Philip Frayne telling Al-Sabah newspaper:

It is important that there is no particular party that imposes its authority over the majority of the people, and the new government will be formed a consensually, involving various components of the Iraqi people.

Also, Al-Qabas reported:

Washington advised Saudi Arabia to “widen” the range of its talks with Iraq.

– Iran will keep its support within the Shiite religious frameworks, and in this regard, information says that Tehran has begun to act in terms of building a large Shiite coalition the includes State of Law (Maliki) and the Iraqi National Alliance (Ja’afari), to ensure a majority of (89 +70) makes it an equivalent of 159 seats, which needs four more seats only to achieve the required 163 seats.

The Iraqi scene is full of surprises and unexpected scenarios:

There are pressures from the Shiite political blocs and the government to reacti­vate the Justice and Accountability decision to exclude a few candidates, most of the them are from Al-Iraqiya list (the total is about 19 seats).

This can turn the table against Allawi at any moment, especially since the cur­rent Iraqi politicians have mastered the political maneuvers game, and thus it is possible, and by the influence of political-money, to turn some MPs in Allawi’s List to vote in the parliament to lift the immunity of the 19 seats.

According to the current developments, Tehran started to “decapitate” Al-Iraqiya List through the creation of (at least the minimum) agreement between INA (Jaafari) and SoL (Maliki).

We can not classify Syria among the above, because of its unique position. Against the presence of the U.S. forces and Anti-occupation of Iraq, some dif­ferences with Saudi Arabia (agreed to together lately on the Iraqi issue) and close ties with Iran.

Among all these mixed positions, Syria supports Allawi and his Iraqiya List as revealed today on Al-Quds Al-Arabi:

Syria will be fully ded­i­cated to the conditions of form­ing an Iraqi gov­ern­ment, because it is the most impor­tant gov­ern­ment in the Amer­i­can occu­pa­tion of Iraq era, and per­haps Syria, accord­ing to some Iraqi sources, will encour­age Ammar Al-Hakim of the Supreme Coun­cil in sup­port Allawi. Accord­ing to the source Syria and Turkey will pres­sure the Kur­dis­tan Alliance to sup­port Allawi.


Categories: IRN, IRQ, SAU, SYR, USA

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (Part 3/3)

March 26, 2010 Comments off

The following report is reprinted with permission from Yemen Times.

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula  (Part 3/3)
©  Abdel Ilah Haidar Shae’e
Extracts from a paper delivered at the Afif Cultural Foundation
Source:  Yemen Times
Publication date:  March 25, 2010

Part 1
Part 2

After Yemen and Saudi Arabia’s success in eliminating Al-Qaeda as a local organization in 2003 and 2006, this organization is now back with cross-border operations reaching the U.S., and Yemen as its new base for its regional leadership.

The last operation by Omar Farouk who tried to attack Detroit Airport has changed the concept of global security. This attack, adopted by Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, redrew security systems in the west and the world, and moved Al-Qaeda in Yemen to the forefront of world news and the major future threats to the world.

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula announced its standpoint based on the battle with the U.S. and the West and applies a rule announced by Osama Bin Laden in 2004. In a speech addressed to Al-Zarqawi he stated, “The fight should be focused on the Americans, and if the others avoid aggression then the fighting should not involve them, and for those who cooperate with Americans, then hit them no matter who they are.”

Al-Qaeda’s ideology towards both Muslim and secular factions is strict and radical, however, Al-Qaeda defers between Sunni Muslims and categorizes them based on how the system perceives and deals with them. Sunni Muslims are categorized into three different groups, the first are those followers of U.S. and the West and those are warned and advised by the system. The second group are the followers of the system that works according to the U.S. and the West and this group is accused of hypocrisy and should be punished by the system. Finally, the third group doesn’t follow the West and yet doesn’t declare loyalty to Al-Qaeda. The System asks this group to challenge the situation and reveal its standpoints.

Then there are the type of Muslims which Western and American studies call the ‘new Muslims’, those who believe in peace and democracy, those who accept to live in harmony with the U.S. and the West, building strong allies with nationalism and secularism forces and with other religious currents such as the Shiites. The place where those kinds of Muslims exist is a place Al-Qaeda finds hard to access and activate. Al-Qaeda is more deeply rooted and has a wider spread in places where “Islam is simpler and more of a Bedouin primitive nature.” In there, Al-Qaeda’s ideology finds an accessible pathway.

This is regarding the Sunni factions. As for the Shiites, Al-Qaeda believes that those are no longer Zaidis and they have turned into opposition Shiites, similar to those found in Iraq and although Al-Qaeda haven’t yet entered into direct armed combat with them, they keep warning of their danger to Yemen. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula considers the war in Sa’ada between the Shiites and the regime as a malicious seedling planted by the regime, causing misery for the Yemeni people. Al-Qaeda also believes that the Shiites sect have territorial goals in Yemen and is regionally supported by Iran. This is based on an audio recording issued by the Epics Foundation, recited by Mohammad Al-Rashed, one of the security ‘wanted’ on the Saudi list.

Al-Qaeda perceives the secular and nationalistic parties as victims of misguided theories; it calls on them to repent and draws their attention to the fight against Western imperialism and the U.S. and that Al-Qaeda is the only one who’s leading all these battles. It is unfortunate for Al-Qaeda that the groupings and the different parties in the countries do not form an alliance of any kind with them. The southern rebellion considers Al-Qaeda an extremist organization and fights against it, along with the U.S. and the West, to purge the south from it and see it as important to cooperate on an international level to remove such a system.

The opposition political parties consider Al-Qaeda a creation by the regime and a political card used to extend their time in charge. It is used as an escape from the different Yemeni crises. The Houthis believe that Al- Qaeda is a terrorist movement, collaborating with the regime in its war against them in Sa’ada. Ali Salem Al-Abyadh declares that he doesn’t mind getting support from Iran. Tareq Al-Fadhli, one of the field leaders, praises Abdel Malik Al-Houthi who reciprocates by praising him as well in the same statement where he denies any connection with Al-Qaeda, describing it as a terrorist movement. Al-Houthi also welcomes the National Salvation Document issued by the grouping of the joint committee, and he agrees on all of its terms that cover most of the just demands and requirements.

Regional and international overlaps

NATO’s strategic vision for Yemen, penned by the U.S. leadership, is consistent with that of Al-Qaeda. The west considers Yemen as the safe ally for NATO, who has the vital role in securing energy sources in the region as well as the trade routes and military fleets. Al-Qaeda, on the other hand, considers Yemen the land of providence and the starting point of its army, which has defeated the coalition in its most important battles nowadays.

The spread of Al-Qaeda in rich locations is a direct threat to the best interests of the U.S. and the West. Al-Qaeda exists in the northern and southern areas, in Marib, Shabwa and Hadramout, and in the southern and western coastal areas, in Abyan, Aden and Al- Hodeida, areas of which straits and shipping lanes are considered the most important international ones. This explains why Al-Qaeda is a direct threat for the sources of wealth invested there by the U.S. and West companies on land and a threat for the passage of different trade lines and military fleets through the sea. This is also why the West is so worried about Al-Qaeda’s presence in the Arabian Peninsula and is ready to go through a decisive battle with Al-Qaeda in Yemen, since it is located near the concentration of forces, its interests in the Gulf states and safe seaways.

Yemen is currently part of a regional wave allied with the West to counter Al-Qaeda in the area. Al-Qaeda replies back with a similar wave of the Somali youth movement that has announced its willingness to send fighters across the sea which will make Yemen an open and a central battle field between the International Jihad Movement on one side and the international coalition for fighting the so called ‘terror’. According to the thoughts of Al-Qaeda, expected callings will be announced by the International Qaeda Leadership, to recruit in Yemen, taking advantage of the West’s call for convening an international conference to fight so-called terrorism in Yemen.

The Jihadists Somali Youth Movement comes from an ideological religious standpoint of the International Jihadists Movement, which is supporting their ‘brothers’ and the willingness of enrolling in the Yemeni Army, which Somali youth considers one of the best. This, however, doesn’t mean that Yemen needs more fighters. They have many well trained military men, some of which have been sent out to Somalia, such as Abu Asem Al-Tabooki from Bihan, in the governorate of Shabwa, southern Yemen. Abu Asem was on the list of the 23 most wanted who escaped from the Sanani prison in February 2006, together with some other Al- Qaeda leaders. Al-Tabooki was killed in an air raid on an Al-Qaeda camp in Somalia in late 2007.

Al-Qaeda presumes that Saudi Arabia’s role is a major one. The military officer of Al- Qaeda says: Deputy Minister of the Interior, Prince Mohammad Bin Nayef, manages the Yemeni Ministry of the Interior and that his authority there is wider than that in the ministry of his father. Al-Qaeda has announced that a spy network of Prince Mohammad Bin Nayef in the southern and eastern areas was detected and that one of its rules is to follow Al-Qaeda members and locate their positions. In February 2009, Saudi Arabia announced a list of the 85 wanted. The Yemenis on the list include: “Amir Al-Qaeda” Al-Wahaishi, and military officer Al-Reemi. Saudi Arabia has declared its support for Yemen in its war against terror and King Abdullah has said that the security of Yemen is the security of the Saudi kingdom and the whole region.

Al-Qaeda has failed several times in several breakthrough attempts in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; the first attempt was aborted after the announcement of the integration of the two groups discovered a cell in March 2009, by the Saudi Yemeni border in Najran. The cell was made up of 11 people, all of whom were arrested. A stockpile of weapons was also discovered there. The second attempt was when Yousef Al-Shahri and Raed Al-Harbi tried to penetrate the Jazan area on October 13, 2009. Both of them were killed because they too were on the wanted list.

Despite Al-Qaeda’s success in penetrating the security system during the assassination attempt of Prince Mohammad Bin Nayef in late August 2009, the Yemeni Saudi cooperation grew by the establishment of a media centre in October 2009, to make a stand against Al-Qaeda’s media in the Arabian Peninsula. This came after the latter issued a number of films about the Saudi Royal Family. Saudi Arabia has recently supported the British Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s invitation for an international conference, in order to address what he described as the next global threat from Yemen.

Future prospects

The future of Yemen is outlined by various armed factions which are: the southern movement, the Shiite armed movement, the Houthis and the Sunni armed movement, Al-Qaeda along with international and regional interferences, a political crisis between the ruling system different parts: the authority and the opposition, and also the poor economy of the country that is rendered unable to deliver its different promises. All the international interference, with their wars on Al-Qaeda, depend on the fact that all those who are not with us are against us. Consequently, this polarizes the Yemeni community’s attitudes towards the U.S. and the West, or towards Al-Qaeda.

In its battle against Al-Qaeda, the West doesn’t depend on the government authorities and securities; alternatively, it employs factions, civic organizations and tribal leaders in an effort to dismantle the public incubator for Al-Qaeda.

The tribal system in Yemen is prepared to go through modifying its plans and councils similar to what has happened in Iraq, but only if Al-Qaeda becomes as powerful in Yemen as it is right now in Iraq, and if the U.S. and its Western allies and locals are not able to defeat it.

The war with Al-Qaeda has started and will, in its own way, take on broader and deeper perspectives, where all politically peaceful sections of the community plus the tribal and governmental bodies will have no choice but to become involved.


Categories: AL Qaeda, SAU, USA, YEM

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (Part 2/3)

March 25, 2010 Comments off

The following report is reprinted with permission from Yemen Times.

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula  (Part 2/3)
©  Abdel Ilah Haidar Shae’e
Extracts from a paper delivered at the Afif Cultural Foundation
Source:  Yemen Times
Publication date:  March 22, 2010

Part 1
Part 3  (Final)

The ideology of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, the local branch of the international organization envisions an Islamic state through dismantling current systems operating in the Arabian Peninsula.

Al-Qaeda’s aim is to establish an army from Yemen, as one of four, whose job is to manage the “epic battle in the Middle East” that gives its name to the media foundation of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, called the Epics Foundation.

Research into the different strategies of international jihadi operations methodology (the main one being Al-Qaeda), illustrates the fact that Al-Qaeda builds its vision based more on an ideological religious standpoint than on other political or realistic ones. These criteria bring us closer to understanding Al-Qaeda both on a local and international level.
This ideology prompts fighting more than other propaganda or political goals, as is clear in the case of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. This is based on a special interpretation by them for the current situation, describing it as an occupation. Fighting is prioritized due to the perceived humiliation of the Islamic nation in the different areas in the world. In order to understand this fundamental vision of Al-Qaeda, we should study its unilateral explanations of the old scripts and explanations, some of which date back more than 1,000 years.

At the same time however, Al-Qaeda is modern, creative, and innovative in all its military and intelligence tools and techniques. The latest innovation in penetration techniques led to a major change in security systems, when Omar Farouk Abdulmutalab tried to blow up a North West plane over Detroit Airport. In his speech aimed at Yemen, Osama Bin Laden focuses on calling the Yemeni tribes with their names “You the courageous of Hashed and Modhej and Bakeel, come and support your brothers. The war is on fire now.” For years, Bin Laden has been asserting that the forces from Yemen are coming.

The tribe, religion, system, political and financial crises are all major factors that have helped Al-Qaeda and supported its work for the past four years. This was strengthened after the operatives escaped from prison in February 2006. Al-Qaeda exists both in the city and among tribes, but the arrests and operations statistics show Sana’a and its surrounding areas as the headquarters for most of Al-Qaeda’s operations. The economic and political situation in Yemen is playing a vital role in supporting the expansion of Al Qaeda both as an organization and an ideology. Moreover, the influence of these local factors is much greater than those of external causes, such as Palestine. The issue of Palestine, on the other hand, is commonly used by Al-Qaeda in motivational speeches as an external factor existing in the surrounding countries. Once again, the supporting environment in Yemen was suitable for a new start for Al-Qaeda.

The current economic situation in Yemen imposes extreme poverty. This is clearly reflected in the psychological side of the Yemeni who barely cares nor worries about the pattern of his life. This is an important personality character Al-Qaeda tries to exploit. So all the current conditions support Al-Qaeda in this because they are mainly interested in recruiting youngsters who care little whether they live or die, a fact that is instilled in Bedouin and Tribal cultures, where murder and killing is relatively high due to the absence of real authority. The American-Yemeni operations coordinated in Shabwa, Abyan and Arhab, revealed the fact that authorities cannot operate effectively in these locations fearing local opposition, especially after the bombing of these areas with U.S. missiles. Locals will strongly challenge these authorities and refuse their military or security support.

A few months prior to that mission, there were several incursions into government centres. The opposition speeches, which focused on attacking and questioning the system, helped Al-Qaeda. This has created a general set of circumstances that caters for Al-Qaeda’s main requirement, which is the importance of bringing the regime down regardless of the techniques utilized.

In its local slogans, Al-Qaeda has a sacred and a simple message; “Take the infidels out of the Arabian Peninsula” and “twelve thousand fighters are coming out from Abyan Aden”, and “Yemen is the land of Warriors”. This is a fact that most Muslims can not deny. Yemen is also a solid ground for the ideological speeches of Al-Qaeda and they have achieved a suitable link with public audiences in the strategies and general characteristics of The Al-Qaeda Plan.

The political crises and the disintegration between the authority and the opposition has been a perfect opportunity for Al-Qaeda to recruit and train. Moreover, Sa’ada’s war has drawn the entire country’s attention away from what is going on in the southern and eastern governorates, whilst Al-Qaeda has managed to establish a regional centre in Yemen.

Both Al-Qaeda and the tribe share the fact that they rule themselves and are not entirely subjective to a central authority; the authority of which Al-Qaeda doesn’t believe in and therefore seeks to destroy. Having built a solid ground for itself due to the current situation, Al-Qaeda has managed to cross all borders to regional oceans then the international locations. In doing so, it has also been able to move from the national standpoint to an international one after the merge that took place early in 2009. The Saudi Saeed Al Shahri, Abu Sofian Al Azdi Al Shahri – 35 years old, was assigned the task, along with other Saudi names that started joining Al-Qaeda in late 2007. Two other major players are Abu Homam Al Qahtani – 24 years old and Abdullah Hasan Osairi, a 23 year old who executed the assassination attempt of the deputy Minister of Interior, Prince Mohammad Bin Nayef, in August 2008.

Although Al-Qaeda is both local and regional, the international aspects of it came from multiple angles namely: the conflict areas and the Al-Qaeda aim that the enemy will never feel peaceful, and the fact that Al-Qaeda is adopting different international concerns such as Palestine, Afghanistan and Iraq. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula builds its conflict based on a “fundamental” principle which is the reciprocity approach; if we’re insecure, we’ll make you insecure as well, hence the international and cross border operations.

Al-Qaeda’s invention of a ‘weapon’ that seems impossible to reveal by electronic devices, has enabled Al-Qaeda to export these operations internationally, knowing full well that it has the technique to do just that. Al-Qaeda’s Ameer Nasser Al Wohaishi says: Muslims do not have to worry about making bombs, its ingredients are available in your mothers’ kitchens and as it can be easily made, security devices will not be able to reveal it. So go and hit the airports and capitals of those countries that fight Muslims, terrify them and make them feel insecure.

Historical stages

Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula has gone through four historical stages; the first was building a base, the initial foundation, in Afghanistan. The main aim was to recruit fighters from the geographic areas of Yemen, Saudi Arabia and other Arabian Peninsula countries. This stage lasted from the mid eighties until the early nineties. The most prominent features of this stage were: mobilizing as many youngsters as possible for the training camps in Afghanistan and, emphasizing the fact that the battle will not stop with the Soviets’ departure from the country because they would immediately start preparing for a more international battle.

The second stage is one of discovery; it is when Al-Qaeda started looking for the best places in the world from which it can manage the conflict. Somalia was the first chosen field for Al-Qaeda outside Afghanistan, after the Soviet Union fell apart. This stage marked Yemeni and Saudi youth battling against the U.S. in Somalia and Al-Qaeda’s ideological operations spread through to the Al Riyadh operation in July 1996, targeting the headquarters for U.S. forces, an operation that was only blessed by Osama Bin Laden and not adopted. This stage lasted from the early nineties until the launch of the international front against Jews and Crusaders in February 1998. During this time fighters were sent out and several assassination groups were formed from a number of the Yemeni Socialist Party leaders. Al-Qaeda infiltrated independent groups in the war of ’94 that led to the defeat of the Socialist Party, a party Bin Laden considered a more dangerous opponent than the regime of President Ali Abdullah Saleh. The speech at that stage was circling the Arabian Peninsula, especially Saudi Arabia and Yemen, and called the American existence in Saudi Arabia as an occupation of the sacred locations and the two mosques, ranking it as the second occupation after the Palestinian one.

Simultaneously, different operations were taking place outside the geographical borders in Somalia, Tanzania and Nairobi, with the exception of some limited undertakings in Yemen. Al-Qaeda has focused on sending weapons from the Yemeni market to Saudi Arabia, taking advantage of the conflict at that time, between the two regimes.

Al-Qaeda’s ideology in the Arabian Peninsula became very clear during the operation in Al Maraqshah Mountains, an area in Abyan, southern Yemen. It took place in December 1998 when the Islamic Abyan Aden army announced the kidnapping of Western tourists. The issue later developed into clashes with the local security forces, the death of four English men and the arrest of the Islamic Abyan Aden army founder, Abu Al Hassan Zayn Al Abideen Al Muhdar, a nobleman from Shabwa in southern Yemen. The Yemeni authorities executed him in 1999. The most eminent feature of that stage was assigning local leadership for international goals for Al-Qaeda, Abu Ali Al Harethi – 40 years old, killed by a CIA plane in early November 2002. Another feature was hitting the USS Cole, an operation through which Al-Qaeda was able to attract fresh local recruits for their next stage.

The third stage was building the first organizational structure for Al-Qaeda in the area. This happened in parallel with the American invasion of Iraq in 2003. The most important features of this stage were the establishment of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula as a local structural organization with known leadership. Although this organization was known as Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, not one attempt was recorded outside the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, except for the financial and military support for the Iraqi front, along with media support provided by Al-Qaeda. The characteristics of this stage and the most prominent results are the intellectual activity and scientific research. These were published by leaders and scientists who supported and enriched the ideological library of Al-Qaeda with readings and interpretation for Islam in accordance with contemporary requirements. After distribution, those scientists and leaders were jailed by the Saudi Authorities. That stage caused internal separation and a split, for the first time, inside the intellectual foundations both religious and secular. The secular religious debate made it into the public domain in Saudi Arabia. Intellectual and media foundations started attacking the religious and the Fatwa foundations in the kingdom, abusing the symbols of religious mindset.

The fourth stage is the current one; it is the difficult stage where Al-Qaeda is conducting a major war with international forces. Al-Qaeda says that this is an attrition battle against the U.S. in Yemen, Iraq, Afghanistan and Somalia. At the early stages Osama Bin Laden is the one who guided the rhetoric; addressing the scientists as ‘the noble ones’ and the army as ‘our brothers’, May Allah protect them. However, during later stages the tone took on a different level. All those parties stayed out of Al-Qaeda’s military operations targets until the new launching stage when the speech came in line with the operations. They started focusing on local factors, assassinating local security leaders such as the recent attempt on the life of Prince Mohammad Bin Nayef. During Al-Qaeda’s existence in Saudi Arabia, the narrative was mainly confined to advising the scientists, whereas in Yemen it came up to the level of accusing them of treachery and working for the best interest, called the Zionist Crusader Campaign through those in charge, meaning the Al Saud, the governors of Riyadh. Al-Qaeda then started advising those called “the Religious men of the awakening” such as Dr. Safr Al Hawali and Dr. Salman Al Awdah. These are currently being accused and attacked.

Al Qaeda’s modern history started on the third of February 2006, a date that was marked by digging an underground tunnel below the political security jail in Sana’a. The tunnel was 45 meters long and 5 meters deep, took 55 days of work and 23 workers, who were fugitives. The U.S. publicized the names of 13 of them as wanted and dangerous members of Al-Qaeda.

After the success of some of the most prominent leaders of Al-Qaeda in escaping prison, Bin Laden sent out a clear message in July of the same year, addressing the Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh as “the traitor who obeys the U.S.”. This was a clear message for those who escaped safely to work on taking him down. It was the beginning of a war against Ali Abdulla Saleh, since before this time, all the past speeches only mentioned Saudi leaders. In the current stage, started in 2006, Al-Qaeda recorded 4 assassination attempts on security leaders, three of which succeeded. The Mohammad Bin Nayef assassination attempt failed despite the fact that Al-Qaeda managed to penetrate his security. There were also 3 attacks on the U.S. Embassy and South Korean Tourists and their investigators, but those operations failed to achieve the intended results.

Finally, for the first time, Al-Qaeda undertook their first operation from Yemen targeting the U.S., an action executed by the 23 year old Nigerian, Omar Farouq Abdel Mottaleb. He managed to travel through six international airports armed with a bomb that he tried to detonate over Detroit Airport in the U.S. Omar is now facing six charges, one of which is using a weapon of mass destruction.

In its present stage, Al-Qaeda is prioritizing its media and promotional aspects. 2008 has witnessed the birth of the Epics Foundation. They have issued four promotional films, a bi-monthly magazine and religious studies. The foundation has also been marketing their data and keeping track of Al-Qaeda’s activities, covering them locally as a result of media and press accessibility in Yemen. This is something Al-Qaeda lacked during its earlier stages in different parts of the world.

Continue to Part 3

Categories: AL Qaeda, SAU, USA, YEM